11 4 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1282 -50 Strength Momentum |
1184 70.4(1) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.000 | 761 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1557 | 97% | |
08/21/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.001 | 1031 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1425 | 78% | |
08/22/15 | at Aztec | 0.001 | 1158 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1387 | 62% | |
08/27/15 | at Sandia Prep ! | 0.002 | 1186 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1554 | 59% | |
09/01/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.010 | 1191 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1353 | 58% | |
09/03/15 | Los Lunas !! | 0.007 | 1217 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1590 | 63% | |
09/05/15 | at Aztec | 0.022 | 1158 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1286 | 62% | |
09/08/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.034 | 1461 | W 4- 2 | Better (+3) | 1456 | 32% | |
09/11/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.055 | 1454 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1334 | 25% | |
09/15/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.086 | 1182 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 1298 | 60% | |
09/18/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.115 | 1031 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1291 | 84% | |
09/19/15 | Farmington | 0.140 | 1352 | W 3- 1 | Better (+2) | 1402 | 45% | |
09/22/15 | at La Cueva ? | 0.192 | 1338 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1226 | 39% | |
09/24/15 | Eldorado | 0.242 | 1287 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1319 | 54% | |
10/06/15 | at Moriarty | 0.048 | 702 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1528 | 98% | |
10/08/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.641 | 1330 | W 3- 1 | Better (+2) | 1390 | 48% | |
10/13/15 | at Grants | 0.065 | 797 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1575 | 95% | |
10/15/15 | Moriarty | 0.121 | 702 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1496 | 99% | |
10/22/15 | Grants | 0.137 | 797 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1543 | 97% | |
10/23/15 | at Albuquerque Academy ?? | 0.956 | 1330 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-1) | 1222 | 40% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Pius actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1184, while
St. Pius's "weighted playing strength" is 1329
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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